
Regional Insights
Learn how the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco utilizes regional data and local economic insights to help inform monetary policy.
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Reserve Banks: Supporting a Strong Economy
Learn how the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ensures that households and businesses have access to cash, safe and secure payments, and a stable banking system.
Economic Research
Read the SF Fed’s most-viewed economic research publications to learn more about topics like inflation, employment, artificial intelligence, and other forces shaping the economy.
SF FedViews: Productivity-Driven Growth Confronts Elevated Inflation
The U.S. economy continues to expand at a solid pace, supported by stronger labor productivity. In this SF FedViews, Research Advisor Huiyu Li examines inflation, labor market conditions, market expectations of the policy rate, productivity, and the role of AI in the economy.
Financial Markets, Oil Prices, and Supply-Side Risks
Stock-bond correlations recently flipped to negative, suggesting that the perceived source of risk to the economy has shifted from demand concerns to supply shocks. The stock-oil correlation has also switched to negative, a stark change from the previous decade.
Job-Finding Anomalies of the Current Expansion
Recent declines in job finding rates for unemployed people have been led by prime-age and college-educated individuals while nonparticipant declines have been led by younger and less-educated individuals. These patterns differ from typical expansions, suggesting structural rather than cyclical forces.
Assessing a Medium-Run Natural Rate of Interest
A medium-run natural rate of interest can be a useful benchmark for monetary policy, offering a clearer signal than a long-run natural rate that ignores transitory economic shifts or a volatile and potentially mismeasured short-run natural rate.
In Focus
Fed research examines events, risks, and trends that materially affect the economy, which in turn affect the Fed’s dual mandate goals of stable prices and maximum employment.
Presidential News & Appearances
Fed’s Daly Discusses Outlook and AI Demand on Bloomberg Surveillance
August 20, 2026
Keynote Remarks by Mary C. Daly at the ESRI International Conference in Tokyo
August 5, 2026
A Conversation with Mary C. Daly and the Bank of Spain
July 2, 2026
Bloomberg Technology Summit 2026 with Mary C. Daly and Bloomberg’s Caroline Hyde
June 4, 2026

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary C. Daly engages with people and businesses in the Twelfth District and across the U.S. to better understand the economy and explain her thinking on monetary policy and the economic outlook.












