Economic Letter Video: Productivity During and Since the Pandemic

Labor productivity growth surged in the U.S. during the pandemic but then slowed as the economy recovered. In our recent Economic Letter, “Productivity During and Since the Pandemic,” we find that this surge and decline in productivity growth follows a recurring pattern in which U.S. productivity rises temporarily during recessions but eventually returns to its longer-run trend. These patterns suggest that productivity growth has a systematic relationship with the business cycle.

Watch our Economic Letter video with Huiyu Li, research advisor, to learn more about productivity growth and its cyclical patterns.

The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the management of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco or of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

About the Authors
John G. Fernald is an Economist Emeritus and former senior policy advisor in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and a professor of economics at INSEAD. Learn more about John G. Fernald
Huiyu Li is a research advisor in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Huiyu Li
Brigid Meisenbacher is a former research associate in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Aren S. Yalcin is a research associate in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.