Thursday, Nov 16, 2023 – Friday, Nov 17, 2023
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
ChinaCOVID-19 PandemicEnergyFinancial MarketsGlobal EconomyInflationMonetary PolicyPacific BasinSupply ChainsU.S. Economy
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16
Introductory Remarks
Sylvain Leduc, Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Opening Address
Lisa D. Cook, Governor, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Session 1: Global Supply Chain Pressures, Inflation, and Implications for Monetary Policy
Chair: Zheng Liu, Vice President of International Research and Director of the Center for Pacific Basin Studies, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Authors: Guido Ascari, Economic Advisor and Head of Monetary Policy Research, De Nederlandsche Bank
Dennis Bonam, Principal Economist, De Nederlandsche Bank
Andra Smadu, Research Economist, De Naderlandsche Bank
Discussants: Thuy-Lan Nguyen, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Peter Tillmann, Professor of Monetary Economics, University of Giessen
Session 2: Domestic Lending and the Pandemic: How Does Banks’ Exposure to Covid-19 Abroad Affect Their Lending in the United States?
Chair: Zheng Liu, Vice President of International Research and Director of the Center for Pacific Basin Studies, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Authors: Judit Temesvary, Chief, International Financial Stability, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Andrew Wei, Economics Graduate Student, Cornell University
Discussants: Alessandro Rebucci, Associate Professor, Johns Hopkins University
Dean Corbae, William Sellery Truckenbrod Chair in Finance and Professor, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Session 3: Welfare Gains from Market Insurance: The Case of Mexican Oil Price Risk
Chair: Zheng Liu, Vice President of International Research and Director of the Center for Pacific Basin Studies, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Authors: Chang Ma, Associate Professor of Finance, Fudan University
Fabián Valencia, Adviser, International Monetary Fund
Discussants: Yan Bai, Professor of Economics, University of Rochester
Vivian (Zhanwei) Yue, Samuel Candler Dobbs Professor of Economics, Emory University
Policymakers Panel: Global Linkages
Chair: Mark Spiegel, Senior Policy Adviser, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Panelist: Patrick Bajari, Partner, Keystone Strategy and AI
Maurice Obstfeld, C. Fred Bergsten Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Kei-Mu Yi, Senior Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Introductory Remarks
Zheng Liu, Vice President of International Research and Director of the Center for Pacific Basin Studies, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Keynote Address
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Economic Counsellor and Director of Research, International Monetary Fund
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17
Session 4: Spillovers from US Monetary Shocks: Role of Policy Drivers and Cyclical Conditions
Chair: Thuy-Lan Nguyen, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Authors: Elif C. Arbatli-Saxegaard, Senior Economist, International Monetary Fund
Davide Furceri, Deputy Division Chief of the Development Macroeconomic Division, International Monetary Fund
Pablo Gonzalez Dominguez, Acting Economist & Research Analyst, International Monetary Fund
Jonathan Ostry, Professor of the Practice, Georgetown University
Shanaka Jayanath Peiris, Division Chief of Regional Studies Division, International Monetary Fund
Discussants: Eric Swanson, Professor of Economics, University of California, Irvine
Matteo Iacoviello, Senior Associate Director, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Session 5: Constructing Chinese Time Series Usable for Macroeconomic Analysis
Chair: Thuy-Lan Nguyen, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Authors: Kaiji Chen, Associate Professor of Economics, Emory University
Tao Zha, Samuel Candler Dobbs Professor of Economics, Emory University
Discussants: John Fernald, Schroders Chaired Professor of European Competitiveness and Reform and Professor of Economics, INSEAD
John Rogers, Professor of Economics, Fudan University
Introductory Remarks
Zheng Liu, Vice President of International Research and Director of the Center for Pacific Basin Studies, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Closing Address
Pinelopi Goldberg, Elihu Professor of Economics and Professor of Management, Yale University
Scheduled session speakers in bold.