Economic Letter Video: Breakeven Employment Growth

In our recent Economic Letter on “Breakeven Employment Growth,” we look at population projections from the Census Bureau and the Congressional Budget Office to estimate the short-term and long-term trends in labor force growth. Naturally, as the working-age population increases, so does the labor force. Job growth needs to keep pace with this expanding labor force to hold the unemployment rate steady. This is the concept of “Breakeven employment growth.”

Watch our Economic Letter video with Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Vice President, Economic Research to learn more about breakeven employment growth and to hear about estimates of short-run and long-run breakeven employment growth.

The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the management of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco or of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

About the Authors
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau is a vice president in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau
Stephanie A. Stewart is a research associate in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.