Pulled Out or Pushed Out? Declining Male Labor Force Participation

2025-07 | April 15, 2025

The fraction of men working in the United States has declined consistently since the 1950s. This has contributed to slower labor force growth and resulted in considerable gaps between labor force participation in the U.S. and its industrialized peers. In this paper we examine the drivers of this trend, focusing specifically on prime-age men (aged 25–54). We compare non-participation rates across four generations – the Silent Generation, Baby Boomers, Generation X, and Millennials – and decompose generational gaps into “push” and “pull” factors that are intended to be descriptive, rather than causal, by design. We define pull factors as those that draw men out of the labor force such as schooling or caretaking. Push factors are those that limit labor market opportunities, such as skills mismatch or disability. Our findings suggest that both pull and push factors are important with the most notable being skills mismatch, caretaking responsibilities, and prolonged continuing education.

Suggested citation:

Bengali, Leila, Mary C. Daly, Evgeniya A. Duzhak, and Cindy Zhao. 2025. “Pulled Out or Pushed Out? Declining Male Labor Force Participation.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2025-07. https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/working-papers/2025/04/pulled-out-or-pushed-out-declining-male-labor-force-participation/

About the Authors
Leila Bengali is a regional policy economist in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Leila Bengali
Mary C. Daly is president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Mary C. Daly
Evgeniya Duzhak is a regional policy economist in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Evgeniya Duzhak
Cindy Zhao is a research associate in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

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